Brandon Langley

Recent Posts

Apples, Oranges & the S&P

Posted by Brandon Langley on 1/11/23 4:49 PM

I happen to share a trainer with a local advisor. I hadn’t seen him since early 2022, so when I saw him recently, I asked him how his clients responded to the minting of a bear market in U.S. equities.

He shared that he was satisfied with the planning and preparation he had done with his clients because it yielded constructive dialogue and (mostly) content clients. However, he did join me in lamenting over the change in how many clients evaluate success during a bear market versus a bull.

We joked about how, when things are going well, the phone doesn’t ring and clients are fine with the occasional update in percentage terms. On the flip side, when markets decline, clients suddenly become very attuned and only want to know how many dollars they have lost. In short, the benchmark to which a client compares performance changes.

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Topics: Behavioral Finance

Why Buffett & Marks Are Trend Followers (Even If They Don’t Know It)

Posted by Brandon Langley on 12/7/22 9:43 AM

"When I see memos from Howard Marks in my mail,
they're the first thing I open and read." –Warren Buffett

Few (if any) money managers are better than Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital, in our opinion. I mean, can you get a bigger endorsement than Warren’s quote above? If you are not familiar with Howard's work, you can read his memos here.

In 2022, Howard perhaps unintentionally made a case for systematic investing generally, and trend following specifically, that we would be hard-pressed to match. From his July memo titled, “I Beg To Differ”:

“You can’t take the same actions as everyone else and expect to outperform.”

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Topics: Systematic Investing

Dissecting the 3 Stages of a Bear Market

Posted by Brandon Langley on 5/11/22 1:20 PM

In a blog last week, I discussed how the virtually uninterrupted bull market in equities during the last 10+ years has watered down the idea of “downside protection.” This is a problem, especially since not all declines are created equal.

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Topics: Systematic Investing

Anatomy of a Bear Market

Posted by Brandon Langley on 5/4/22 12:40 PM

There are numerous examples of words and phrases entering the lexicon, providing deep meaning for many years, but over time and with frequent use losing significance among the masses. The word or phrase itself didn’t change, but the meaning was diluted by changing circumstances.

I worry that “downside protection” has run through the watering-down process.

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Topics: Behavioral Finance

Ingredients Matter – In Baking & Investing

Posted by Brandon Langley on 4/19/22 9:41 AM

Vanilla is a fascinating ingredient. It is one of the most popular flavors worldwide and is incredibly common for use in baked goods. The process of creating vanilla flavoring is time-consuming and labor-intensive, which is why in its purest form it is also one of the most expensive spices in the world.

Vanilla’s widespread use and high value alone are not what makes it interesting. Take vanilla and add it to a cake mix and it enhances the flavor, turning an ordinary result into something great. But if you first bake the cake and then drizzle even the highest quality vanilla over it, you have effectively ruined the dessert.

Ingredients matter. So does the order in which they’re combined. In baking and investing.

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Topics: Systematic Investing

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